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I think it should be clear if the stainless steel wire is at risk of breakage, fish-hooks and rust staining should give you a fair warning. The crimps on each end of the wire could fail but what I would like to know is whether anyone has had a furler or top swivel fail (break)? Increasing the wire guage may not be the most important issue if the bearings in the drum give way under load.

Interestingly I could not find the breaking strain of the Selden drum from a cursory Google search, I think I kept the paperwork that came with it, I wonder how it compares with the tension needed in the genoa halyard to generate the correct shroud tension…